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Latest Publications

Reaching the Limits: China as a Responsible Stakeholder

John Lee

Given the U.S.-China economic relationship and China's importance in Asia, America's temptation is to seek a comprehensive cooperative framework to perpetuate its leadership and "tame" a rising China in order to promote stability in the region. Increasing economic interdependence does create common interests, and structured dialogues can reduce misunderstanding. But as Asia's preeminent power and civilization for all but 200 of the past 3,000 years, China is too big, proud, and independently minded for America to "tame" or "manage." Washington cannot hope to decisively determine the endgame for an authoritarian China-in which the CCP, leading a country of 1.4 billion people, will choose to become a "responsible stakeholder" within a U.S.-led order.

Strategic Standoff: The U.S.-China Rivalry and Taiwan

Ian Easton

The CCP views Taiwan as a grave threat to its grip on power. Consequently, the People's Liberation Army (PLA), which is the armed wing of the CCP, considers the invasion of Taiwan to be its most critical mission. Getting the strategic competition with China right will ultimately help America secure unprecedented levels of prosperity, freedom, and stability for all Pacific nations by the century's midpoint.

New on AsiaEye

The official blog of the Project 2049 Institute

Insight #52:The Role of Traditional Chinese Culture in CCP Policy

Insight #51:Taiwan's Future Submarine Program: A Deep Dive

Insight #50:Taiwan's Cyber Army Plan

Insight #49:The Taiwanese Curveball: Why Taiwan's New Government Will Put the Brakes on China's Foreign Policy

Insight #48:Burmese NGO Pushes for Reparations for Political Prisoners

Insight #47:Taiwan's Transition is a Strategic Opportunity for the United States

For the latest AsiaEye articles visit our Publications page

The United States and Future Policy Options in the Taiwan Strait

Mark Stokes and Sabrina Tsai

Taiwan is a core interest in U.S. foreign policy. Its values, technological prowess, and geostrategic position align with foundational American values and priorities for the region, making it a crucial U.S. partner in the Asia Pacific. As such, ensuring a stable and positive future for Taiwan as a democracy and a primary contributor to the global economy and international community is a high priority. This monograph concludes that a more objective representation of the status quo in the Taiwan Strait may better serve long-term U.S. interests.

Extending Domestic Governance Over the Seas: China’s State Oceanic Administration

Chisako T. Masuo

In 1982, General Liu Huaqing of China proposed the strategy of 'offshore defense' and drew a line through the Kurile Islands, Japan and the Ryukyu Islands, Taiwan, the Philippines, Borneo, and Natuna Besar. He set the year 2000 as the goal for establishing Chinese control inside this 'First Island Chain.' China has been trying to expand its area of actual control by extending domestic governance over the seas. Over the last decade, the State Oceanic Administration (SOA) under the State Council has assumed more responsibility in the oceanic administration and developed a clearer division of labor within PLAN.

The PLA General Staff Department Third Department Second Bureau: An Organizational Overview of Unit 61398

Mark Stokes

In May 2014, the United States Department of Justice (DOJ) announced indictments against five Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA) officers on charges of cyber espionage directed against U.S. firms. According to the indictments, the five officers were assigned to the Third Office of the PLA General Staff Department (GSD) Technical Reconnaissance Department (alternatively known as the Third Department) Second Bureau. While assigned personnel may well engage in cyber espionage, a survey of Second Bureau infrastructure indicates a much broader communications intelligence mission.

WATCH CONFERENCE (Mar 22): China as a Responsible Stakeholder? A Decade Later
WATCH CONFERENCE (Dec 1): Taiwan's Future Submarine Program: A Deep Dive
WATCH CONFERENCE (Oct 6): Influence Operations: Chinese Political Warfare in East Asia and Beyond
"China Has Its Own Problems With History" on the Diplomat by Randall Schriver, Project 2049 President/CEO.


16-002: Taiwan, Submarines, and Competitive Strategies for U.S.-China Competition


16-001: The Nature of China's Rise and Why It Matters to the U.S. and Japan: A Japanese Perspective

Challenges for the PLAN in the Western Pacific




15-006: Developments in China’s Conventional Precision Strike Capabilities


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