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Latest Publications
 

The United States and Future Policy Options in the Taiwan Strait

Mark Stokes and Sabrina Tsai

Taiwan is a core interest in U.S. foreign policy. Its values, technological prowess, and geostrategic position align with foundational American values and priorities for the region, making it a crucial U.S. partner in the Asia Pacific. As such, ensuring a stable and positive future for Taiwan as a democracy and a primary contributor to the global economy and international community is a high priority. This monograph concludes that a more objective representation of the status quo in the Taiwan Strait may better serve long-term U.S. interests.

Extending Domestic Governance Over the Seas: China’s State Oceanic Administration

Chisako T. Masuo

In 1982, General Liu Huaqing of China proposed the strategy of 'offshore defense' and drew a line through the Kurile Islands, Japan and the Ryukyu Islands, Taiwan, the Philippines, Borneo, and Natuna Besar. He set the year 2000 as the goal for establishing Chinese control inside this 'First Island Chain.' China has been trying to expand its area of actual control by extending domestic governance over the seas. Over the last decade, the State Oceanic Administration (SOA) under the State Council has assumed more responsibility in the oceanic administration and developed a clearer division of labor within PLAN.

New on AsiaEye

The official blog of the Project 2049 Institute

Insight #40:Chinese Media Leverages "False Dilemma"Fallacy Against U.S. Allies

Insight #39:The South China Sea is Not Beijing's Next Battlefield

Insight #38:Chinese Media Warfare Targets the U.S.-Japan Alliance

Insight #37:US South China Sea Policy: The Case for UNCLOSt

Insight #36:Hollywood and the Chinese Market

Insight #35:SPECIAL: Sun Tzu Simplified: An Approach to Analyzing China’s Regional Military Strategies

Insight #34:A Reverse Pivot: China’s New Grand Canal

For the latest AsiaEye articles visit our Publications page

The PLA General Staff Department Third Department Second Bureau: An Organizational Overview of Unit 61398

Mark Stokes

In May 2014, the United States Department of Justice (DOJ) announced indictments against five Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA) officers on charges of cyber espionage directed against U.S. firms. According to the indictments, the five officers were assigned to the Third Office of the PLA General Staff Department (GSD) Technical Reconnaissance Department (alternatively known as the Third Department) Second Bureau. While assigned personnel may well engage in cyber espionage, a survey of Second Bureau infrastructure indicates a much broader communications intelligence mission.

TPP From Taiwan's Vantage Point: Political, Trade, and Strategic Considerations

Sara Yi-ying Lin

Established in 2008, The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) has been closely followed by the major trading nations in the Asia-Pacific. Taiwan, or the Republic of China (ROC), and other non-members have been observing the developments in the negotiation process of this "21st Century Agreement" and preparing their respective country's strategies and policies in response to the agreement. As a member of the Asia-Pacific region, it is critical for Taiwan to join the TPP in the near future.

Rebuilding Deterrence: Post-2015 Defense Guidelines Challenges Facing the U.S.-Japan Alliance

Sugio Takahashi

On 27 April 2015, Japan and the U.S. concluded the new Guidelines for the Japan-U.S. Defense Cooperation. This paper will explore the challenges facing the alliance after the revision of the Defense Guidelines. It will examine the evolution of Japanese thought on deterrence as outlined in the 2010 and 2013 National Defense Program Guidelines. It will also assess the strategic implications of China’s military modernization. This paper will conclude by offering possible policy solutions to the challenges facing the U.S.-Japan alliance in maintaining deterrence.

SPOTLIGHT
WATCH CONFERENCE (Dec 1): Taiwan's Future Submarine Program: A Deep Dive
WATCH CONFERENCE (Oct 6): Influence Operations: Chinese Political Warfare in East Asia and Beyond
"China Has Its Own Problems With History" on the Diplomat by Randall Schriver, Project 2049 President/CEO.
Futuregrams

 

16-001: The Nature of China's Rise and Why It Matters to the U.S. and Japan: A Japanese Perspective


 

15-006: Developments in China’s Conventional Precision Strike Capabilities

Challenges for the PLAN in the Western Pacific

 

 

XUAR

15-005: Of Monarchs and Military Men: The Political Pathologies that Undermine Democracy in Burma and Thailand

 

 
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