Thursday, March 30, 2017
1:00 PM to 3:15 PM
Location: Top of The Hill, Minuteman Ballroom
1 Constitution Ave, NE
Washington, DC 20002
Chinese leaders have projected an image of China as an inevitable regional and global leader. However, controls on information, assembly, and capital outflows suggests the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) is paying closer attention to its domestic priorities than to its international reputation. The Congressional Executive Commission on China's (CECC) 2016 annual report detailed the anger and discontent felt by many Chinese citizens, who are increasingly calling for more government accountability, transparency and justice. Regime legitimacy and social stability are important challenges that factor into Chinese leaders' perceptions of national power. With the CCP’s 19th Party Congress on the horizon, it is more critical than ever to assess the CCP’s underlying regime stability and the key threats to it.
This conference will bring together a distinguished group of experts to address China’s most important current challenges and sources of instability, as well as Beijing's potential response to both. Following a keynote address by Senate Foreign Relations Asia Subcommittee Chair Cory Gardner (R-CO), we will feature panel discussions and conversation on how China’s current challenges and instability will impact the U.S.-China relationship. Participants will also examine how the U.S. and its allies could more effectively engage with China in the future based on these factors.
Thursday, February 23, 2017
1:30 PM to 4:00 PM
Location: First Floor Conference Center
1777 F St. NW
Washington, DC 20006
A hallmark of General Secretary Xi Jinping’s 'China Dream' is founded on principles of “socialism with Chinese characteristics” with the goal to build a culturally strong and prosperous China under the guidance of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). To achieve the ‘China Dream,’ it is essential for the Party to be a critical part of both China’s past and present to successfully usher China into the future. As such, the CCP has actively dominated the narrative of their history, which has politicized the very nature of the PRC’s struggles and successes. In order to maintain the CCP narrative, the Central Committee of the Chinese Communist Party issued a communiqué in April 2013 known as Document No.9 titled, "Communiqué on the Current State of the Ideological Sphere." The document set out to criticize seven political threats including constitutionalism, civil society, historical nihilism, universal values, and the Western view of media. Overall, the document criticized these elements for attempting to undermine the legitimacy of the Party through the questioning of China’s version of events, and prohibited open discourse or any challenge to the CCP’s historical narrative in an effort to maintain the strict adherence to the Party line.
This conference will bring together an expert panel to address the costs and implications related to the CCP’s distortion of consequential moments in China’s past. Specifically, the event will address “Problems on the Periphery” and the impact of the CCP's involvement in Tibet, Southeast Asia, and Korea. A second panel will discuss how the modern reform era of the 1980’s and onward resulted in a stronger and more defiant CCP today. The conference will also include a discussion on the CCP’s process of “restoration” and the consequences of Party history.
Event: Opening Remarks: Randall Schriver Keynote Address: Edward Friedman Panel One:Miles Yu, Li Jianglin, and Kelley Currie Moderator: Amy Chang Panel Two: Robert Suettinger and Cao Yaxue Moderator: Louisa Greve
Tuesday, December 13, 2016
1:30 PM to 4:00 PM
Location: The Conference Center at Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
1779 Massachusetts Ave NW
Washington, DC 20036
In June 1995, Taiwan's President, Lee Teng-hui, visited Cornell University to give a speech on democracy. The People's Republic of China (PRC) responded with a series of coercive military actions which precipitated a major crisis in the Taiwan Strait. Beijing viewed the prospect of an internationally recognized Taiwanese democracy as a severe threat to its legitimacy and panned President Lee's visit as a reversal of perceived American commitments to respect its version of the "one China" policy. In the wake of this historic event, the PRC began to rapidly build-up its military capabilities for a future Taiwan conflict scenario. For its part, the U.S. increased strategic dialogues, training exchanges, and arms sales to Taiwan. Now, 20 years after the Crisis, the military and political calculus across the Taiwan Strait has changed. China is far better able to execute military operations across the Strait, but Taiwan is also better prepared to defend itself. Recently, China has abducted Taiwanese citizens abroad, limited Taiwan's participation in international organizations, and conducted threatening military exercises. Given the trend lines before us, it is ever more important to evaluate the 1995-1996 Taiwan Strait Crisis, and explore its implications for the future of the Asia-Pacific.
This conference will bring together a distinguished group of experts for a timely discussion on China’s behavior before, during, and after the Crisis, with a special focus on the Chinese military. Panelists will also examine the ways in which U.S.-Taiwan relations were strengthened after the 1995-1996 Taiwan Strait Crisis, and address some of the outstanding weaknesses which remain.
Tuesday, September 20, 2016
2 PM to 4:15 PM
Location: The National Press Club
The Holeman Lounge
529 14th Street NW, 13th Floor
Washington, DC 20045
The phrase 'Seek Truth from Facts (实事求是) was introduced to the People's Republic of China (PRC) as a hallmark slogan of Mao Zedong and the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). The CCP’s narrative of its history is a critical component of the Party’s domestic and foreign policy, as it aims to legitimize its own power and supremacy. The slogan has been used throughout the PRC's 66-year history, and served as a political tool in Deng Xiaoping’s 1978 speech which allowed the Party to enact much needed reforms while maintaining its authority. The Chinese Communist Party thus utilizes political work groups and education to push its narrative of history to shape and define the discourse on the Party, rule of law, and foreign policy. However, to "Seek Truth from Facts," has tragically resulted in the revision of history, human dignity, and the pursuit of "adherence to the Party."
This conference will bring together an expert panel to identify and assess the impact of the CCP’s war on history at home and abroad by addressing the Sino-Japanese War, the Party's historical claim to Tibet, and confronting the use of history to consolidate national identity and its relevance to the 'rise of China.'
Tuesday, March 22, 2016
2 PM to 4 PM
Location: The Newseum
Knight Conference Center
Freedom Forum Entrance, 6th Street
555 Pennsylvania Ave NW
Washington, DC 20001
In 2005, then-Deputy Secretary of State Robert Zoellick used the term "responsible stakeholder" to address how China should wield its influence in the coming future.
In his remarks, he classified the U.S.-China relationship as one that must be built on not only shared interests but shared values. A decade later, how has China contributed positively to the international system and met US expectations as a responsible stakeholder? Going forward, what challenges, changes, and concerns will shape China's developing role in global and regional affairs?
This conference brought together an expert panel to identify and assess areas where China challenges the existing international order and offered recommendations for a U.S. response to reinforce the pre-existing security and economic architecture in the Asia-Pacific.
Event: Briefing: Evan Feigenbaum
Panelists: Cheng Xiaonong, He Qinglian, John Lee, Oriano Mastro, and Margaret Roberts Moderator: Rachael Burton Moderated Discussion: Kathleen Hicks and Ashley Tellis with Randy Schriver
Tuesday, December 1, 2015
2 PM to 4 PM
Location: The Conference Center
at Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
1779 Massachusetts Ave NW
Washington DC 20036
The comprehensive transformation of China's military forces has prompted a regional increase in defense development and acquisition to include submarine capabilities. Inherently stealthy, and equipped with a diverse range of sensors and weapon systems, submarines are a "force in being" that have a political effect beyond the military realm. Taiwan's indigenous submarine program would enhance regional stability by providing a credible and survivable deterrent to potential PRC use of force, and enhancing Taiwan's relative position in future cross-Strait political negotiations.
This conference brought together a panel of experts to focus on Taiwan's submarine program in relation to the PLA's force modernization and Taiwan's defense strategy, and identify key policy goals for U.S.-Taiwan relations.
Tuesday, October 6, 2015
2 PM to 5 PM
Location: Heritage Foundation, Allison Auditorium
214 Massachusetts Ave NE Washington, DC 20002
In 2015, China's military modernization efforts and its assertive activities in the East and South China Seas dominate public discourse on China's growing influence. While these developments are usually viewed through a military lens, the People's Liberation Army (PLA)'s activities should be considered and examined as an instrument of statecraft to achieve specific political outcomes as a form of political warfare. Chinese political warfare and influence operations actively target foreign governments, organizations, groups, and individuals to shape their perceptions and behavior. Driven by its political goals, Chinese influence operations are a centerpiece of PRC's overall foreign policy and military strategy.
This conference brought together Dr. Aaron Friedberg and Congressman J. Randy Forbes as keynote speakers as well as a panel of experts to focus on the characteristics of Chinese political warfare and will identify key political goals and tactics in its influence operations towards specific targets in the Asia-Pacific region and beyond.
Friday, March 30, 2015
9 AM to 2:30 PM
Location: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Choate Room
1779 Massachusetts Ave NW, Washington, DC 20036
The security environment in the Asia Pacific region is evolving quickly. Key among several trends is the accelerating development of the People's Liberation Army's programs and capabilities, which have expanded rapidly over the past two decades. While the People's Republic of China (PRC) insists that its military advancements are peaceful in nature, U.S. allies and partners in the region continue to question Beijing's intentions in light of China's various territorial and historical disputes with its neighbors. As East Asia experiences shifts in the security and political landscape, the U.S.-Japan alliance continues to play a critical role toward maintaining peace and stability in the region.
This conference brought together Japanese scholars and American experts to discuss the PRC's overall military strategy and capabilities, assess its future programs and plans, and discuss the implications for the U.S.-Japan alliance and the region.
Panel 1: Chinese Regional Military Strategy
Panelists: Scott Harold, Chisako Masuo, Dennis Blasko Moderator: Randy Schriver
Panel 2: Chinese Military Capabilities
Panelists: Tetsuo Kotani, Akira Marusaki, Dean Cheng
Moderator: Mark Stokes
Lunch Keynote: Brigadier General David R. Stilwell
Deputy Director for Politico-Military Affairs for Asia, Joint Staff, the Pentagon
Panel 3: U.S.-Japan Defense Cooperation
Panelists: Sugio Takahashi, Hiroko Maeda, Emma Chanlett-Avery Moderator: Ian Easton
Recent Testimonies from the Project 2049 Institute
Project 2049 Institute Senior Fellow Kelley Currie testifies before the House Committee on Foreign Affairs Subcommittee on Asia and the Pacific on democracy in Asia, highlighting the situation in Burma related to the Rohingya.
Project 2049 Institute Senior Fellow Kelley Currie testifies before the Subcommittee on Asia and the Pacific of the House Committee on Foreign Affairson on Hong Kong's future democratic prospects in light of obstacles from Beijing.
Project 2049 Institute President and CEO Randall Schriver testifies before the Subcommittee on East Asian and Pacific Affairs of the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations on US policy on Taiwan on the 35th Anniversary of the Taiwan Relations Act.
Project 2049 Institute Executive Director Mark Stokes submits written testimony before the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission on China's C4ISR system, computer network operations, and counterspace operations.
Project 2049 Institute President and CEO Randall Schriver testifies before the House Committee on Foreign Affairs' Subcommittee on Asia and the Pacific on Japan's long-term disaster recovery and the U.S.-Japan alliance in the context of the changing regional security environment.
Project 2049 Institute Executive Director Mark Stokes testifies before the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission on the drivers of China's space modernization, military space organizations, and emerging aerospace capabilities.
Executive Director Mark Stokes testified before the U.S. - China Economic and Security Review Commission on the Chinese government's narratives related to military modernization and the role of the PLA in foreign policy.
Expert Interviews .
Interview with Bob McNally,
Former Senior Director for International Energy on the National Security Council
Interview with Paula Dobriansky,
Former Under Secretary of State for Democracy and Global Affairs
Thursday, September 25, 2014
10:00 AM to 12:00 PM
Room 2237, Rayburn House Office Building
45 Independence Ave SW, Washington, DC 20515
In 1994, the Clinton Administration completed a comprehensive interagency review of U.S. policy toward Taiwan, the first of its kind launched by an administration since the U.S. shifted recognition from Taipei to Beijing in 1979. This review resulted in important policy adjustments in line with U.S. national security interests toward Taiwan. As we approach the 20th anniversary of the Taiwan Policy Review (TPR), it is important to assess U.S. policy since the TPR and assess where U.S. policy is heading in the future. Join us for a discussion on the history and significance of the TPR and the future of U.S.-Taiwan relations.
Friday, June 27, 2014
10:00 AM to 12:30 PM
University of California Washington Center (next to CSIS)
1608 Rhode Island Ave. N.W., Washington, DC 20036
From March 18th through April 10th 2014, several hundred students from universities around Taiwan entered the country's Legislative Yuan, and occupied the main chamber in protest against passage of legislation on a Trade Service Agreement with China.
What were the underlying reasons for the protest? What are the implications for Taiwan's domestic politics, with local elections coming up in late 2014 and presidential and legislative elections in early 2016? What are the implications for cross-Strait relations, foreign policy, and regional security? Join us for a discussion on these topics.
Panel One: Motivating Factors and Domestic Political Implications
Implications for Cross-Strait Relations and Regional Security
Tuesday, March 4, 2014
2:30 - 5:40 PM
Carnegie Endowment Conference Center, Root Room
1779 Massachusetts Avenue NW, Washington, DC 20036
Japan faces both opportunities and challenges in the US-Japan alliance and regional and global engagement efforts in 2014. As the capstone event to the two-year program titled, “Japan’s Global Engagement and US-Japan Cooperation” sponsored by the Sasakawa Peace Foundation, the Project 2049 Institute is hosting this roll-out event to highlight and discuss key themes of the program, facilitate greater understanding of Japan's foreign policy, and outline effective recommendations to promote Japan's global and regional engagements.
Ambassador Richard Armitage
The US-Japan Alliance: Challenges and Opportunities
Progress and Obstacles in Japan's Regional Engagement
Tuesday, Oct 22, 2013 2 - 5:30 PM
Carnegie Endowment Conference Center 1779 Massachusetts Avenue NW, Washington, DC 20036
In 2011, President Obama outlined a strategic concept to increase the United States’ attention on the Asia-Pacific region by rebalancing U.S. engagements, activities, and resources toward this vital area of the world. In order for the U.S. and its allies to hedge against potentially destabilizing contingencies in the Asia-Pacific region, the role of security partners should be further examined and better defined. Effective cooperation between Washington and its partners hinges on the political, economic, and technological capital for building partnership capacity. Innovative alternative approaches to ensuring regional security and the development and implementation of a strategic vision for the role of U.S. and security partners are needed to help sustain peace, stability, and prosperity in the Asia-Pacific region.
During this conference, the keynote speaker and panelists addressed innovative alternative approaches to ensuring regional security and developing a strategic vision for the role of U.S. and regional security partners to help sustain peace, stability, and prosperity in the Asia-Pacific region.
The Guam-US-Asia Security Alliance (GUASA) hosted a two day roundtable in Guam on 5 and 6 September, 2013,
entitled, "U.S. Forward Deployed Forces and Asian Security: A Strategic View."
Project 2049 President and CEO Randall G. Schriver participated in this roundtable as an expert participant, among twelve distinguished Asia-Pacific security specialists from mainland US. The roundtable discussions were focused on the "rebalance to Asia" and its implications for Guam, the Northern Mariana Islands, and greater Micronesia.
Tuesday, June 4, 2013 10:00AM - 11:30AM
Dirksen Senate Office Building
In late 2011, President Barack Obama announced his decision to “rebalance” American foreign policy toward Asia. The President can only achieve his goals for the Asia-Pacific by working with Congress to execute a comprehensive, long-term strategy. In light of this shift in policy, individuals from the Foreign Policy Initiative, American Enterprise Institute, the Project 2049 Institute, and the Long Term Strategy Group have prepared a memo on how the United States can best execute this new policy. Please join representatives from FPI, AEI, and Project 2049 as they discuss the future of securing U.S. interests in the Asia-Pacific.
The Project 2049 Institute and the Heritage Foundation co-hosted this event to address the shared interests between the United States and Japan in regional security and stability. The U.S.-Japan alliance is ever more important as North Korea continues to pose threats to the region and China increases its military strength and aggressively presses its own interests. Join us as our distinguished guests explore the impact of Japanese politics on the U.S.-Japan alliance and regional security.
October 4, 2012
3:30 PM – 5:30 PM
Dirksen Senate Office Building
Constitution Avenue and 1st Street, NE Washington, DC 20002
Please join us for an expert discussion on the challenges and opportunities ahead for the U.S.-Japan alliance. In August 2012, Ambassador Richard Armitage and Dr. Joseph Nye released the third edition of the Armitage-Nye report U.S.-Japan Alliance: Anchoring Stability in Asia, which offered recommendations for Japan, the U.S., and the alliance spanning energy, security, and the economy. In this follow on discussion, Japanese experts will provide their own perspectives on the feasibility of their recommendations and suggestions for the U.S.-Japan alliance going forward.
The Sasakawa Peace Foundation (SPF) hosted Randall G. Schriver, president & CEO of the Project 2049 Institute, for the release of the third edition of a report co-chaired by Richard L. Armitage, President of Armitage International and former Deputy Secretary of State, and Joseph S. Nye, Distinguished Service Professor, Harvard University.
The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) Japan Chair cordially hosted the release of a new report co-chaired by Richard L. Armitage, President of Armitage International and former Deputy Secretary of State, and Joseph S. Nye, Distinguished Service Professor, Harvard University.
The relationship between South Korea and China has long been influenced by regional third parties. North Korea has traditionally played a central role in shaping Beijing’s behavior toward South Korea and the United States. Over the past four years, Taiwan (ROC) and the People’s Republic of China have seen a significant thaw in their relations, which some argue allows Taipei to wield greater influence over the trilateral relationship between South Korea, China and the United States. While the roles that North Korea and Taiwan play in the trilateral relationship are different, their roles could change the dynamics of the overall relationship.
Please click HERE to read Volume 1 of KEI-Project 2049’s Korea-China Forum newsletter.
The Project 2049 Institute and the U.S.-Taiwan Business Council have jointly produced a report – entitled “Chinese Reactions to Taiwan Arms Sales” – that examines the history of major U.S. arms sales to Taiwan since 1979, and discusses the correlation between such arms sales and Chinese reactions and retaliatory responses. The panel discussion will examine the contents and conclusions of the report, and also discuss implications for future U.S. arms sales to Taiwan.
Dramatic changes in Sino-American relations have left the longstanding US policy of "engagement" with China outmoded and ineffective. China's economic, political, and military ascension has led to a more assertive and muscular Beijing, complicating American attempts at diplomatic engagement on key issues. Too often, "engaging" China has meant engagement only with the Chinese Communist Party, with modest results on human rights issues to show for the effort.
AEI and the Project 2049 Institute, which seeks to guide decision makers toward a more secure Asia by the century's midpoint, will cohost a conference examining US policy toward China, particularly American engagement of Chinese civil society. With new dynamics shaping Chinese and American interests, the conference will evaluate the prospect of a diplomatic strategy both more effective and better aligned with US interests and values.
Randy Schriver, Project 2049 Institute
Panel I A Review of Engagement
Carolyn Bartholomew, US-China Economic & Security Commission
Sophie Richardson, Human Rights Watch
Derek Scissors, Heritage Foundation
Mark Stokes, Project 2049 Institute
Moderator: Dan Blumenthal, AEI
Panel II Engaging Civil Society and Reaching the People
Sharon Hom, Human Rights in China
Ho-Fung Hung, Indiana University
Rebecca Mackinnon, Global Voices
Jennifer Turner, Woodrow Wilson International Center
Strengthening Fragile Partnerships: An Agenda for the Future of U.S.-Central Asia Relations
Feb 17, 2011
A comprehensive new report from the bipartisan Central Asia Study Group and the Project 2049 Institute calls on American and Central Asian leaders to rise to the challenges and opportunities in the region. Strengthening Fragile Partnerships: An Agenda for the Future of U.S.-Central Asia Relations" proposes an action agenda on economics, energy, governance, security, social development, and regional cooperation, and places particular emphasis on the importance of reconnecting Central Asian countries to the global economy.
Study Group chair Richard L. Armitage (former Deputy Secretary of State) and report author Evan A. Feigenbaum (Director, Asia, Eurasia Group, and Adjunct Senior Fellow, Council on Foreign Relations) discuss the report at a media briefing.
December 1, 2010 (co-hosted with the Heritage Foundation)
Randall Schriver (Project 2049 Institute), Dr. Ho Szu-yin (former Deputy National Security Adviser, Taiwan) and Dr. Lo Chih-cheng (Taiwan Brain Trust) discuss the implications of Taiwan's municipal elections for U.S.-Taiwan and cross-Strait relations.
President and CEO Randall Schriver testifies before the U.S. House of Representatives Subcommittee on International Organizations, Human Rights and Oversight on the situation of Uighur detainees from Guantanamo Bay.
President and CEO Randall Schriver serves as panelist for Congressional-Executive Commission on China roundtable on Human Rights and Rule of Law in China.
Official Launch of the Project 2049 Institute
July 31, 2008
The Project 2049 Institute hosts a launch event at the Tabard Inn in Washington D.C. to introduce the only Washington-based think tank that focuses exclusively on future-oriented studies of the Asia Pacific.