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Latest Publications

Strategic Standoff: The U.S.-China Rivalry and Taiwan

Ian Easton

The CCP views Taiwan as a grave threat to its grip on power. Consequently, the People's Liberation Army (PLA), which is the armed wing of the CCP, considers the invasion of Taiwan to be its most critical mission. Getting the strategic competition with China right will ultimately help America secure unprecedented levels of prosperity, freedom, and stability for all Pacific nations by the century's midpoint.

The United States and Future Policy Options in the Taiwan Strait

Mark Stokes and Sabrina Tsai

Taiwan is a core interest in U.S. foreign policy. Its values, technological prowess, and geostrategic position align with foundational American values and priorities for the region, making it a crucial U.S. partner in the Asia Pacific. As such, ensuring a stable and positive future for Taiwan as a democracy and a primary contributor to the global economy and international community is a high priority. This monograph concludes that a more objective representation of the status quo in the Taiwan Strait may better serve long-term U.S. interests.

New on AsiaEye

The official blog of the Project 2049 Institute

Insight #45:Congress Takes on China's Propaganda Machine

Insight #44:China as a Responsible Stakeholder? A Decade Later

Insight #43:How Chinese Analysts Understand Taiwan’s Geostrategic Significance

Insight #42:Ripe for Reinvigoration: The Japan-South Korea Security Relationship

Insight #41:Chinese Political Warfare After Taiwan's Elections: After Tsai's Victory

Insight #40:Chinese Media Leverages "False Dilemma"Fallacy Against U.S. Allies

For the latest AsiaEye articles visit our Publications page

Extending Domestic Governance Over the Seas: China’s State Oceanic Administration

Chisako T. Masuo

In 1982, General Liu Huaqing of China proposed the strategy of 'offshore defense' and drew a line through the Kurile Islands, Japan and the Ryukyu Islands, Taiwan, the Philippines, Borneo, and Natuna Besar. He set the year 2000 as the goal for establishing Chinese control inside this 'First Island Chain.' China has been trying to expand its area of actual control by extending domestic governance over the seas. Over the last decade, the State Oceanic Administration (SOA) under the State Council has assumed more responsibility in the oceanic administration and developed a clearer division of labor within PLAN.

The PLA General Staff Department Third Department Second Bureau: An Organizational Overview of Unit 61398

Mark Stokes

In May 2014, the United States Department of Justice (DOJ) announced indictments against five Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA) officers on charges of cyber espionage directed against U.S. firms. According to the indictments, the five officers were assigned to the Third Office of the PLA General Staff Department (GSD) Technical Reconnaissance Department (alternatively known as the Third Department) Second Bureau. While assigned personnel may well engage in cyber espionage, a survey of Second Bureau infrastructure indicates a much broader communications intelligence mission.

TPP From Taiwan's Vantage Point: Political, Trade, and Strategic Considerations

Sara Yi-ying Lin

Established in 2008, The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) has been closely followed by the major trading nations in the Asia-Pacific. Taiwan, or the Republic of China (ROC), and other non-members have been observing the developments in the negotiation process of this "21st Century Agreement" and preparing their respective country's strategies and policies in response to the agreement. As a member of the Asia-Pacific region, it is critical for Taiwan to join the TPP in the near future.

WATCH CONFERENCE (Mar 22): China as a Responsible Stakeholder? A Decade Later
WATCH CONFERENCE (Dec 1): Taiwan's Future Submarine Program: A Deep Dive
WATCH CONFERENCE (Oct 6): Influence Operations: Chinese Political Warfare in East Asia and Beyond
"China Has Its Own Problems With History" on the Diplomat by Randall Schriver, Project 2049 President/CEO.


16-002: Taiwan, Submarines, and Competitive Strategies for U.S.-China Competition


16-001: The Nature of China's Rise and Why It Matters to the U.S. and Japan: A Japanese Perspective

Challenges for the PLAN in the Western Pacific




15-006: Developments in China’s Conventional Precision Strike Capabilities


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